Today’s Picks
Welcome to BettingByTheNumbers
Data-driven sports previews and picks — transparent, analytical, and results-focused. Follow weekly cards, props, and write-ups here; watch the breakdowns on YouTube.
What to Expect
Daily Previews
Breakdowns of upcoming games with model-based edges.
Results Tracking
Full transparency with weekly logs, W-L-P and ROI.
Sports Coverage
NFL, MLB, NBA, NCAAF, NCAAB — props and sides.
Latest Picks & Analysis
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Sacramento Kings @ Chicago Bulls
📌 Pick: Bulls -4.5 (−106) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average line has trended toward the Bulls. Analysis Market’s telling a clear story. This spread has hovered near -5 since open, and we’ve seen steady steam toward Chicago throughout the day. Grabbing -4.5 (−106) at ProphetX gets us under the prevailing number at most
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FIU @ Missouri State
📌 Pick: Under 50.5 (−109) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average line has trended toward the Under (and moved from 54.5 at open to 50.5). Analysis This total has been trending the right direction for us. Early numbers in the low-to-mid 50s (54.5 at open at several books) have been bet down to 50.5
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Philadelphia 76ers @ Washington Wizards
📌 Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -3.5 (−123) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★☆☆ Line Movement Analysis Philadelphia comes into this matchup with strong indicators on both the market and matchup front. The line opened around −4.5 and has been sitting there most of the week, but late movement is now pushing toward −5.5, signaling the market is leaning
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UTEP @ Kennesaw State
📌 Pick: Kennesaw State -9.5 (−123) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average line moving heavy in favor of Kennesaw State Analysis Kennesaw State comes into this matchup with strong indicators on both the market and matchup front. The line opened around -8 and has pushed as high as -10.5 at various points, showing consistent
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James Madison @ Texas State
📌 Pick: James Madison -6.5 (−110) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average line moving heavy in favor of James Madison. Analysis James Madison enters this matchup as a deserved favorite — and the market is showing clear support for the Dukes. The line opened at −5 and has climbed to −6.5, signaling early sharp