Today’s Picks
Welcome to BettingByTheNumbers
Data-driven sports previews and picks — transparent, analytical, and results-focused. Follow weekly cards, props, and write-ups here; watch the breakdowns on YouTube.
What to Expect
Daily Previews
Breakdowns of upcoming games with model-based edges.
Results Tracking
Full transparency with weekly logs, W-L-P and ROI.
Sports Coverage
NFL, MLB, NBA, NCAAF, NCAAB — props and sides.
Latest Picks & Analysis
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Southern Mississippi @ Buffalo
📌 Pick: Buffalo -2.5 (−114) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★☆☆ Analysis Too Much of a Good Thing: Looking at our possession efficiency model based on historical data, Southern Miss was the pick at the end of last season. Good news for both teams, this isn’t last season anymore. Southern Miss collapsed after an adequate start last
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Northern Arizona @ Drake
📌 Pick: Drake -8.5 (−115) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★☆☆☆ Analysis Possessive Efficiency: In looking at a possession-based projection model, the Drake team of 2024-25 shattered expectations for what it means for a team to be “efficient” with the ball. Our possession based model sees this game hovering around 64.4 projected possessions, with Drake having a
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Bradley @ St. Bonaventure
Monday, November 3rd, in the year of our lord 2025. The day we see tip offs around the country for the 2025-26 NCAA Men’s Basketball season. Happy Opening Day to those who celebrate. Here at BBTN, we couldn’t be more excited to finally bring college hoops back into our lives, and into your gambling apps.
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Fresno State @ Boise State
📌 Pick: Boise State -16.5 (−125) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average line has been steady at -17.5 and there is late steam on -16.5 to secure some value. Analysis Market & number: The market has sat firmly in Boise’s corner all week. The average spread has hovered around -17.5, with brief jumps higher,
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Navy @ North Texas
📌 Pick: Over 66.5 (−104) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average line has moved from 55.5 at open to 66.5 and steam is coming in on the over at 66.5. Analysis Market & number: Totals opened in the mid-50s and have climbed into the 66.5–68 range across the board. The average line has been
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North Carolina @ Syracuse
📌 Pick: Under 46.5 (−124) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average line has moved from 48.5 to 45.5 and steam is coming in on the under at 46.5. Analysis This total has been walking down all week. The market opened in the high 40s (around 48.5) and we’re now sitting at a 45.5 consensus