Today’s Picks
Welcome to BettingByTheNumbers
Data-driven sports previews and picks — transparent, analytical, and results-focused. Follow weekly cards, props, and write-ups here; watch the breakdowns on YouTube.
What to Expect
Daily Previews
Breakdowns of upcoming games with model-based edges.
Results Tracking
Full transparency with weekly logs, W-L-P and ROI.
Sports Coverage
NFL, MLB, NBA, NCAAF, NCAAB — props and sides.
Latest Picks & Analysis
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Kansas @ North Carolina
📌 Picks: Kansas +2.5 (-110)Kansas ML (+125) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★☆☆ Line Movement Full game line opened at UNC -1.5 which drew quite a bit of initial steam and triggered a mid-week move to UNC -2.5. The line has shifted a bit back and forth but has settled around the UNC -2.5 mark. Analysis The
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Texas vs. Duke
📌 Picks: Duke -5.5 (-110)Duke -9.5 (-123) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Full game line opened at 7.5 and is at least -10.5 at most books. 1st half line has moved up from -4.5 and late steam on both picks. | Model makes full game -10.5 Analysis Market & number: The full-game spread has
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North Dakota State @ Oregon State
📌 Pick: NDSU +9.5 (-103) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Line trending down from +10.5 → +9.5 | Model makes it +7.5. Analysis Market & number: North Dakota State steps into Corvallis as a live underdog with both market movement and projection value on their side. This number opened +10.5 and has steadily tightened
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Villanova vs. BYU
📌 Pick: Over 152.5 (-120) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average spread has moved from -152.5 at open→ -153.5, steady steam on the over 152.5. Analysis Market & number: The market has been leaning to points from the jump. We grabbed 152.5 before the board ticked up toward 153.5, which gives us a little
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Marist @ Xavier
📌 Pick: Xavier -12.5 (-114) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average spread has moved from -11.5 at open→ -13, steady support for Xavier. Analysis Market & number: The market has been leaning Xavier all day, with the average spread drifting from -12 to -13 across the board. We locked in -12.5 at -114 before
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Missouri @ Howard
📌 Pick: Missouri -19.5 (-116) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★★☆ Line Movement Average spread has nudged -19.5 → -20.5, steady support for the Tigers. Analysis Market & number: The market has leaned toward Missouri since open, with most books moving to -20/-20.5. Locking -19.5 (-116) on ProphetX secures a solid number and lines up with our