Category: Jacob
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Kansas @ North Carolina
📌 Picks: Kansas +2.5 (-110)Kansas ML (+125) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★☆☆ Line Movement Full game line opened at UNC -1.5 which drew quite a bit of initial steam and triggered a mid-week move to UNC -2.5. The line has shifted a bit back and forth but has settled around the UNC -2.5 mark. Analysis The…
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Southern Mississippi @ Buffalo
📌 Pick: Buffalo -2.5 (−114) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★★☆☆ Analysis Too Much of a Good Thing: Looking at our possession efficiency model based on historical data, Southern Miss was the pick at the end of last season. Good news for both teams, this isn’t last season anymore. Southern Miss collapsed after an adequate start last…
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Northern Arizona @ Drake
📌 Pick: Drake -8.5 (−115) Units: 1u Confidence: ★★☆☆☆ Analysis Possessive Efficiency: In looking at a possession-based projection model, the Drake team of 2024-25 shattered expectations for what it means for a team to be “efficient” with the ball. Our possession based model sees this game hovering around 64.4 projected possessions, with Drake having a…
